Pennsylvania Department of Education provides annual enrollment
projections to assist School Districts and other entities to identify
and proactively address issues related to anticipated enrollments.
Projections are based on recent historic trends in births and trends in
the progression of students form one grade to the next. Because
enrollment projections are based on an analysis of actual enrollments
figures from the recent past, it is imperative that School Districts accurately report current enrollments in each grade. This enrollment data is collected in the October 1 Student Snapshot template via the Pennsylvania Information Management System (PIMS).
using enrollment projections for planning purposes, it is important to
be aware that the projection model uses only actual enrollments, births,
and retention rates to formulate projections. Other factors which may
exist in a particular school district, such as a significant change in
new home building, may need to be considered in conjunction with the
projections to most accurately estimate future enrollments. For more
detailed information on the projection model used, including its
limitations, view the “Enrollment Projections Model” document below.
reports available on this page provide information on historical and
projected enrollments on a statewide basis and by individual school
For additional information, please contact:
Data Quality Office
Pennsylvania Department of Education
333 Market Street | Harrisburg, PA 17126-0333